BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Indiana St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 229 Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (6-14) Overall: (11-18) Overall Strength =   33.61

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    41.81  64  62    1 126 ( 17- 17) Saint Louis             8.28     -6.28                      
  2 11-16-2022 Home    W    39.19  84  71    1 275 (  6- 23) Central Michigan        5.65      7.35                      
  3 11-20-2022 Away    L    37.30  54  77    1  45 ( 19- 10) Purdue                  3.77    -26.77                      
  4 11-26-2022 Home    L    13.64  62  74    1 285 (  6- 23) Ohio                  -19.89      7.89                      
  5 11-29-2022 Home    W    31.37  68  43    1 360 (  6- 21) Chicago St             -2.16 *   27.16                      
  6 12-10-2022 Away    L    25.41  67  77    1 233 ( 12- 17) Western Michigan       -8.13     -1.87                      
  7 12-15-2022 Home    L    32.49  51  58    1 131 ( 17- 12) Western Kentucky       -1.04     -5.96                      
  8 12-18-2022 Home    W    36.24  64  56    1 249 ( 14- 18) PFW                     2.71      5.29                      
  9 12-21-2022 Home    W    42.85  72  47    1 318 (  5- 25) Detroit                 9.32     15.68                      
 10 12-29-2022 Home    L *  32.24  62  71    1 114 ( 19- 10) Missouri St            -1.29     -7.71                      
 11 12-31-2022 Home    L *  33.81  58  60    1 173 ( 11- 18) S Illinois              0.28     -2.28                      
 12 01-05-2023 Away    W *  50.17  59  48    1 190 ( 17- 14) IL Chicago             16.64     -5.64                      
 13 01-07-2023 Away    W *  38.87  66  58    1 276 (  7- 22) Valparaiso              5.34      2.66                      
 14 01-11-2023 Away    L *  20.47  54  65    1 260 ( 12- 18) Evansville            -13.06      2.06                      
 15 01-14-2023 Home    L *  31.17  65  86    1  53 ( 19-  9) Drake                  -2.36    -18.64                      
 16 01-20-2023 Away    L *  40.34  68  78    1  91 ( 23-  7) Illinois St             6.80    -16.80                      
 17 01-22-2023 Away    W *  36.03  71  60    1 327 (  4- 27) Bradley                 2.49      8.51                      
 18 01-27-2023 Home    L *  33.06  51  65    1  76 ( 21- 10) Belmont                -0.47    -13.53                      
 19 01-29-2023 Home    W *  43.65  62  56    1 146 ( 14- 15) Murray St              10.12     -4.12                      
 20 02-01-2023 Home    L *  24.35  66  68    1 260 ( 12- 18) Evansville             -9.18      7.18                      
 21 02-05-2023 Away    L *  15.78  51  91    1  61 ( 21-  8) Northern Iowa         -17.75    -22.25                      
 22 02-10-2023 Away    W *  53.77  82  71    1 146 ( 14- 15) Murray St              20.24     -9.24                      
 23 02-12-2023 Away    L *  40.18  69  81    1  76 ( 21- 10) Belmont                 6.65    -18.65                      
 24 02-17-2023 Home    L *  18.75  47  54    1 276 (  7- 22) Valparaiso            -14.78      7.78                      
 25 02-19-2023 Home    L *  28.05  50  56    1 190 ( 17- 14) IL Chicago             -5.48     -0.52                      
 26 02-23-2023 Away    L *  25.93  64  79    1 173 ( 11- 18) S Illinois             -7.60     -7.40                      
 27 02-25-2023 Away    L *  35.37  66  77    1 114 ( 19- 10) Missouri St             1.83    -12.83                      
 28 03-02-2023 Home    W *  35.91  87  71    1 327 (  4- 27) Bradley                 2.37     13.63                      
 29 03-04-2023 Home    L *  34.22  71  82    1  91 ( 23-  7) Illinois St             0.68    -11.68                      
      Averages              33.53  64.0 67.0

Best game:   53.77 = 11 point win over Murray St
Worst game:  13.64 = 12 point loss to Ohio
Team stdev:   9.42